“Although the Gulf States didn’t join the U.S. in its attack on Iran, they are now on the receiving end of retaliatory attacks from Iran,” said Adriana Alvarado, senior vice president for Morningstar global sovereign ratings. “The overall economic impact on the Gulf economies will largely depend on the length and severity of the disruptions to air travel and to traffic on the Strait of Hormuz. But no doubt that whatever the outcome of the current confrontation, political developments in Iran will have lasting consequences for the whole Middle East region.”
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作为掌控伊朗约三分之一经济产值及全部战略武装力量的利益集合体,伊斯兰革命卫队在面临外部军事高压时,更有动机跨越“军政不干预”的传统红线。这种转轨可能表现为扶植一位资历尚浅的神职人员作为意识形态傀儡,实质上建立起由革命卫队高级将领主导的集体领导体制。这种军事化倾向,意味着伊朗可能从一个带有共和色彩的神权国家,演变为一个高度压制性、以国家安全为绝对优先序列的威权政体。。咪咕体育直播在线免费看是该领域的重要参考
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