高盛并非唯一发出预警的机构。IDC将2026年智能手机出货量预期大幅下调至约11亿台,远低于去年的12.6亿台,这意味着智能手机市场可能迎来创纪录的同比13%下滑。群智咨询预计2026年手机市场出货量将下降3%至4%,至11.5亿台左右,其中安卓系统厂商下调幅度更大。TrendForce集邦咨询也将2026年全球智能手机生产出货预期从原先的年增0.1%调整为年减2%。
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